What is BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy? (NYSE:BLK) - Macroaxis (2024)

BLKStockUSD753.794.120.55%

BlackRock's odds of distress is less than 5% at the moment. It is unlikely to undergo any financial straits in the next 24 months. Odds of financial distress prediction helps decision makers evaluate BlackRock's chance of financial distress in relation to its going-concern outlook and evaluation. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the BlackRock balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out BlackRock Piotroski F Score and BlackRock Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy BlackRock Stock please use our How to buy in BlackRock Stock guide.

BlackRock

Probability Of Bankruptcy

Market Cap

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Probability Of Bankruptcy

Market Cap is expected to rise to about 127.3B this year. Enterprise Value is expected to rise to about 128.3B this year

BlackRock Company odds of financial distress Analysis

BlackRock's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

Probability Of Bankruptcy

=

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 5%

Most of BlackRock's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, BlackRock is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of BlackRock probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting BlackRock odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of BlackRock financial health.

Is BlackRock's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackRock listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.372

Dividend Share

20.1

Earnings Share

39.36

Revenue Per Share

123.091

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.114

The market value of BlackRock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackRock's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackRock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for BlackRock is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of BlackRock Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since BlackRock's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of BlackRock's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of BlackRock's interrelated accounts and indicators.

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Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, BlackRock has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 5.0%. This is 89.99% lower than that of the Capital Markets sector and 87.56% lower than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 87.45% higher than that of the company.

BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses BlackRock's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of BlackRock could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BlackRock by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

BlackRock is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

BlackRock Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.02650.02790.03870.0440.04470.0647
Asset Turnover0.0890.08620.09160.130.150.14
Net Debt126M(1.4B)(5M)1.1B966M1.0B
Total Current Liabilities1.2B1.0B1.4B1.3B1.2B1.5B
Non Current Liabilities Total132.5B138.3B112.4B77.5B80.7B119.4B
Total Assets168.6B177.0B152.6B117.6B123.2B119.8B
Total Current Assets23.5B28.7B20.2B16.4B19.2B16.7B
Total Cash From Operating Activities2.9B3.7B4.9B5.0B4.1B2.2B

BlackRock ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, BlackRock's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to BlackRock's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environment Score

Governance Score

Social Score

BlackRock Fundamentals

Return On Equity0.14
Return On Asset0.0329
Profit Margin0.32 %
Operating Margin0.36 %
Current Valuation114.51 B
Shares Outstanding148.76 M
Shares Owned By Insiders0.96 %
Shares Owned By Institutions88.23 %
Number Of Shares Shorted1.82 M
Price To Earning19.81 X
Price To Book2.89 X
Price To Sales6.19 X
Revenue18.66 B
Gross Profit8.79 B
EBITDA7.47 B
Net Income5.5 B
Cash And Equivalents7.42 B
Cash Per Share43.42 X
Total Debt9.7 B
Debt To Equity0.22 %
Current Ratio1.74 X
Book Value Per Share264.96 X
Cash Flow From Operations4.14 B
Short Ratio3.11 X
Earnings Per Share39.36 X
Price To Earnings To Growth2.46 X
Target Price933.31
Number Of Employees19.8 K
Beta1.37
Market Capitalization111.52 B
Total Asset123.21 B
Retained Earnings32.34 B
Working Capital17.93 B
Current Asset8.32 B
Current Liabilities3.04 B
Annual Yield0.03 %
Five Year Return2.38 %
Net Asset123.21 B
Last Dividend Paid20.1

About BlackRock Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze BlackRock's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of BlackRock using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackRock based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

BlackRock Investors Sentiment

The influence of BlackRock's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in BlackRock. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.

Investor biases related to BlackRock's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in BlackRock. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding BlackRock can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around BlackRock. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.

BlackRock's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for BlackRock's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average BlackRock's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on BlackRock.

BlackRock Implied Volatility

82.59

BlackRock's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of BlackRock stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if BlackRock's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that BlackRock stock will not fluctuate a lot when BlackRock's options are near their expiration.

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards BlackRock in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, BlackRock's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from BlackRock options trading.

Pair Trading with BlackRock

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if BlackRock position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in BlackRock will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against BlackRock Stock

0.52FSK FS KKR Capital Financial Report 3rd of May 2024 PairCorr
0.5WAVS Western AcquisitionPairCorr

The ability to find closely correlated positions to BlackRock could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace BlackRock when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back BlackRock - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling BlackRock to buy it.

The correlation of BlackRock is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as BlackRock moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if BlackRock moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.

Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for BlackRock can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.

Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

When determining whether BlackRock is a good investment, qualitative aspects like company management, corporate governance, and ethical practices play a significant role. A comparison with peer companies also provides context and helps to understand if BlackRock Stock is undervalued or overvalued. This multi-faceted approach, blending both quantitative and qualitative analysis, forms a solid foundation for making an informed investment decision about Blackrock Stock. Highlighted below are key reports to facilitate an investment decision about Blackrock Stock:

Check out BlackRock Piotroski F Score and BlackRock Altman Z Score analysis.

For more information on how to buy BlackRock Stock please use our How to buy in BlackRock Stock guide.

You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.

Complementary Tools for BlackRock Stock analysis

When running BlackRock's price analysis, check to measure BlackRock's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BlackRock is operating at the current time. Most of BlackRock's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BlackRock's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BlackRock's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BlackRock to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Is BlackRock's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BlackRock. If investors know BlackRock will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BlackRock listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

0.372

Dividend Share

20.1

Earnings Share

39.36

Revenue Per Share

123.091

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.114

The market value of BlackRock is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BlackRock that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BlackRock's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BlackRock's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BlackRock's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BlackRock's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between BlackRock's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BlackRock is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BlackRock's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

What is BlackRock Probability Of Bankruptcy? (NYSE:BLK) - Macroaxis (2024)

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