The Data Suggests ESG Is Not a Cause of Inflation — JUST Capital (2024)

The Data Suggests ESG Is Not a Cause of Inflation — JUST Capital (1)

The rise of ESG (environmental, social, and governance) investing in the United States has been rapid. Recently, it has also become a divisive political issue. Some critics, such as the The State Financial Officers Foundation, have gone so far as to label ESG a contributor to the elevated inflation lingering in the country. Given that some of the underlying factors typically covered by ESG investing often relate to the themes and issues we cover in our own Rankings, we thought we’d take a closer look at this, and see what the data has to say.

The ESG-inflation argument is weak

Annual inflation has cooled from the four-decade high seen last summer, but recent data shows it remains higher than many had expected. As a result, the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates even higher in the months ahead to make sure inflation declines further until it reaches its long-term 2% target.

But even as inflation declines, it still remains a singular source of stress on family budgets for essentials like grocery staples, commuting, and energy services. Indeed, polling shows Americans believe inflation is the number-one issue facing the country today. Large numbers of Americans are currently struggling with economic hardship, especially as inflation reduces wages’ purchasing power, and indeed real wages have, on average, declined over the past year.

The literature suggests there are four main causes of the current inflation: First, supply side causes due to the COVID-19 pandemic, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and China’s zero COVID policy which strained supply chains and restricted the supply of many goods. Responding to the pandemic, public officials then, on the monetary side, expanded the money supply (the second cause) and also, on the fiscal side, increased government spending (the third cause), fueling demand. Finally, as demand rose, companies were able to regularly raise prices which concomitantly drove higher profits.

Though there are ongoing academic and policy debates about the relative influence of these causes and the degree to which they feed into each other, there is precious little economic evidence to suggest that corporate and investor-led ESG strategies have been a major factor driving inflation at this point in time.

Of course, one main challenge in evaluating the connection between ESG and inflation is that different people define ESG in different ways. Much of the argument that ESG contributes to inflation is centered on the energy complex, the opposition to fossil fuel production and usage, and increased gas prices. Although there are real debates about the relationship between ESG, energy supply, and commodity prices, there is little clear evidence to suggest that ESG strategies by companies and investors pushed gas and crude oil prices higher in 2022. Indeed, executives of major oil and gas firms have themselves stated that ESG is not one of the main reasons wearing on oil and gas production growth.

To deal with inflation, investors and companies should prioritize stakeholder-focused leadership

As regular JUST followers know, our approach centers not on an ESG approach but rather a stakeholder-oriented approach in which the factors that matter are identified and prioritized by the American people. Nevertheless, given the above, we thought it would be interesting to examine the connections between our own company Rankings and indexes, and inflation.

What we found is that as inflation further exacerbates nominal declines in equities and indexes, investors can turn to JUST Capital’s approach to identifying corporate stakeholder leadership to shield their portfolios’ real returns. Just companies tend to outperform their peers, and in fact JUST Capital’s U.S. Large Cap Diversified Index (JULCD) and JUST 100 Total Returns Index (JUONETR) have both outperformed their benchmarks since their inception (respectively by 9.4% and 13.3% as of December 31, 2022).

Companies, meanwhile, can unlock value by enacting human capital policies to increase employee satisfaction, retention, productivity, and ultimately performance. Productivity, whereby the same unit of input yields additional output, is key. Though inflation squeezes margins, especially through cost pressures, companies can maintain or even increase their profitability by increasing productivity.

Research has shown that higher wages for low-income workers result in higher productivity, and JUST Capital survey research found that the American public overwhelmingly agrees (87%) that companies should regularly increase wages to keep up with the rapidly rising cost of living. Companies can hedge against inflation by increasing productivity not only by raising employee wages, but also by investing in benefits packages, career advancement, worker health and safety, and flexibility.

As investors and companies face the economic uncertainties of 2023, one strategy that can help protect margins and outflank the challenge of inflation is to turn to JUST Capital’s stakeholder-focused approach based on the priorities of the American public. Our research suggests that it is a win-win for not only investors and companies, but also for the American public in general.

The Data Suggests ESG Is Not a Cause of Inflation — JUST Capital (2024)

FAQs

The Data Suggests ESG Is Not a Cause of Inflation — JUST Capital? ›

To deal with inflation, investors and companies should prioritize stakeholder-focused leadership. As regular JUST followers know, our approach centers not on an ESG approach but rather a stakeholder-oriented approach in which the factors that matter are identified and prioritized by the American people.

What is negative about ESG? ›

First, ESG funds may carry higher-than-average expense ratios. This is because ESG investing requires more research and due diligence, which can be costly. Second, ESG investing can be subjective. There is no one definition of what constitutes an ESG investment, and different investors may have different criteria.

What are the arguments against ESG investing? ›

Critics of ESG — such as a group of Republican states that banned Blackrock and other “ESG friendly” asset managers from their state pension plans — argue that considering environmental and social factors violates the fiduciary duty that asset managers have towards their clients.

Why is ESG an issue? ›

ESG issues in business (in a nutshell)

It includes concerns like resource usage, waste handling, carbon emissions, and efforts to combat climate change. Regarding financial materiality, companies need to identify which environmental risks impact the conduct of their business.

What is the best explanation of ESG? ›

What is ESG explained in simple terms? ESG stands for Environmental, Social, and Governance. It is a framework used to evaluate a company's sustainability and ethical impact.

Why do people not like ESG? ›

Some opponents also believe that ESG investing is politically motivated and could lead to biased investment decisions.” In a line used by proponents, those in opposition to the ESG movement also believe there is substantial support behind them.

What is the controversy with ESG? ›

One of the biggest criticisms of ESG is that it perpetuates what it was partly designed to stop – greenwashing.

Who is behind ESG? ›

The term ESG first came to prominence in a 2004 report titled "Who Cares Wins", which was a joint initiative of financial institutions at the invitation of the United Nations (UN).

What can go wrong in ESG? ›

ESG dimensions are juxtaposed but not correlated

This can also create the risk that companies with wrong metrics on one pillar, e.g. Environment, may offset the negative impact on the overall ESG value, harnessing higher scores on the other dimensions, e.g. Social and Governance.

Do investors really care about ESG? ›

Investors increasingly believe companies that perform well on ESG are less risky, better positioned for the long term and better prepared for uncertainty. Companies that realign to the stakeholder capitalism agenda may have a competitive advantage over those that try to return to business as usual.

Why did ESG fail? ›

The ESG movement, originally driven by good intentions, has been co-opted by lobbyists, special interest groups and various NGOs, and recent reviews have revealed its lackluster performance in creating meaningful environmental change and have highlighted chronic abuse of flawed methodologies.

How did ESG become meaningless? ›

But at the same time, this rush to become an ESG-focused company has led to overuse of the term and devalued its meaning, says Edmans. "Anything which is good about a company, people say, is ESG. So, there have been some reports say, 'oh, this company is well run, let's call that good ESG'."

What happens if you don't comply with ESG? ›

Failing to comply with these regulations can result in fines, sanctions, lawsuits and loss of licenses. To avoid this risk, businesses should monitor and align their ESG practices with the relevant legal frameworks and standards in their markets.

What are the cons of ESG? ›

This means that it's hard for investors to compare companies and funds from an ESG standpoint. Investing involves risks, including the potential loss of principal. Financial markets are volatile and can fluctuate significantly in response to company, industry, political, regulatory, market, or economic developments.

Does ESG really matter and why? ›

Successful companies are implementing ESG strategies that increase financial, societal, and environmental impact as well as ensure long-term competitiveness.

What is ESG in simple words? ›

ESG means using Environmental, Social and Governance factors to assess the sustainability of companies and countries. These three factors are seen as best embodying the three major challenges facing corporations and wider society, now encompassing climate change, human rights and adherence to laws.

What are the disadvantages of ESG? ›

One of the main disadvantages of ESG criteria is that companies are not required to disclose all information related to their sustainability practices. This can make it difficult for investors to evaluate the sustainability and ethical impact of investments.

Why is ESG a risk? ›

ESG Risks are those arising from Environmental, Social and Governance factors that a company must address and manage. These risks are a combination of threats and opportunities that can have a significant impact on an organisation's reputation and financial performance.

How ESG affects companies negatively? ›

The researchers' findings indicate that when companies focus on nonmaterial ESG factors in their quarterly financial updates, investors interpret it as a negative sign, signaling potential issues like higher costs, inefficient resource use, and distracted management.

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