JPMorgan Chase Probability Of Bankruptcy | (NYSE:JPM) (2024)

JPMStockUSD195.651.500.76%

JPMorgan Chase's odds of distress is less than 3% at the moment. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months. JPMorgan Chase's Probability Of Bankruptcy is determined by interpolating and adjusting JPMorgan Altman Z Score to account for off-balance-sheet items and missing or unfiled public information. All items used in analyzing the odds of distress are taken from the JPMorgan balance sheet, as well as cash flow and income statements available from the company's most recent filings. Check out JPMorgan Chase Piotroski F Score and JPMorgan Chase Altman Z Score analysis.

JPMorgan

Probability Of Bankruptcy

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Probability Of Bankruptcy

JPMorgan Probability Of Bankruptcy Analysis

JPMorgan Chase's Probability Of Bankruptcy is a relative measure of the likelihood of financial distress. For stocks, the Probability Of Bankruptcy is the normalized value of Z-Score. For funds and ETFs, it is derived from a multi-factor model developed by Macroaxis. The score is used to predict the probability of a firm or a fund experiencing financial distress within the next 24 months. Unlike Z-Score, Probability Of Bankruptcy is the value between 0 and 100, indicating the firm's actual probability it will be financially distressed in the next 2 fiscal years.

2021202220232024 (projected)
Operating Income60.0B46.4B61.6B64.7BOther Operating Expenses71.3B76.1B87.2B91.5B

Probability Of Bankruptcy

=

Normalized

Z-Score

More About Probability Of Bankruptcy | All Equity Analysis

Current JPMorgan Chase Probability Of Bankruptcy

Less than 3%

Most of JPMorgan Chase's fundamental indicators, such as Probability Of Bankruptcy, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, JPMorgan Chase Co is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.

Our calculation of JPMorgan Chase probability of bankruptcy is based on Altman Z-Score and Piotroski F-Score, but not limited to these measures. To be applied to a broader range of industries and markets, we use several other techniques to enhance the accuracy of predicting JPMorgan Chase odds of financial distress. These include financial statement analysis, different types of price predictions, earning estimates, analysis consensus, and basic intrinsic valuation. Please use the options below to get a better understanding of different measures that drive the calculation of JPMorgan Chase Co financial health.

Is JPMorgan Chase's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JPMorgan Chase. If investors know JPMorgan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JPMorgan Chase listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.15)

Dividend Share

4.1

Earnings Share

16

Revenue Per Share

49.687

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.111

The market value of JPMorgan Chase is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Chase's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Chase's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan Chase's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Chase's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan Chase's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan Chase is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan Chase's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JPMorgan Probability Of Bankruptcy Driver Correlations

Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for JPMorgan Chase is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of JPMorgan Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Probability Of Bankruptcy. Since JPMorgan Chase's main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of JPMorgan Chase's historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of JPMorgan Chase's interrelated accounts and indicators.

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Click cells to compare fundamentals

The Probability of Bankruptcy SHOULD NOT be confused with the actual chance of a company to file for chapter 7, 11, 12, or 13 bankruptcy protection. Macroaxis simply defines Financial Distress as an operational condition where a company is having difficulty meeting its current financial obligations towards its creditors or delivering on the expectations of its investors. Macroaxis derives these conditions daily from both public financial statements as well as analysis of stock prices reacting to market conditions or economic downturns, including short-term and long-term historical volatility. Other factors taken into account include analysis of liquidity, revenue patterns, R&D expenses, and commitments, as well as public headlines and social sentiment.

Competition

Based on the latest financial disclosure, JPMorgan Chase Co has a Probability Of Bankruptcy of 3.0%. This is 93.99% lower than that of the Banks sector and significantly higher than that of the Financials industry. The probability of bankruptcy for all United States stocks is 92.47% higher than that of the company.

JPMorgan Probability Of Bankruptcy Peer Comparison

Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses JPMorgan Chase's direct or indirect competition against its Probability Of Bankruptcy to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of JPMorgan Chase could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing JPMorgan Chase by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.

JPMorgan Chase is currently under evaluation in probability of bankruptcy category among related companies.

JPMorgan Chase Main Bankruptcy Drivers

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Return On Assets0.01360.0086030.01290.01030.01280.0134
Asset Turnover0.04310.03540.03250.03510.040.0498
Net Debt144.4B(101.2B)(271.7B)(100.5B)(187.6B)(178.2B)
Total Current Liabilities251.3B277.8B316.3B344.2B44.7B42.5B
Non Current Liabilities Total367.1B381.2B415.6B3.3T414.8B682.7B
Total Assets2.7T3.4T3.7T3.7T3.9T4.1T
Total Current Assets747.6B1.1T1.2T969.2B305.2B314.6B
Total Cash From Operating Activities6.0B(79.9B)78.1B107.1B13.0B12.8B

JPMorgan Chase ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, JPMorgan Chase's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to JPMorgan Chase's managers, analysts, and investors.

Environment Score

Governance Score

Social Score

JPMorgan Fundamentals

About JPMorgan Chase Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze JPMorgan Chase Co's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of JPMorgan Chase using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of JPMorgan Chase Co based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.

Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

JPMorgan Chase Co. operates as a financial services company worldwide. JPMorgan Chase Co. was founded in 1799 and is headquartered in New York, New York. JP Morgan operates under BanksDiversified classification in the United States and is traded on New York Stock Exchange. It employs 288474 people.

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When determining whether JPMorgan Chase is a strong investment it is important to analyze JPMorgan Chase's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact JPMorgan Chase's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding JPMorgan Stock, refer to the following important reports:

Check out JPMorgan Chase Piotroski F Score and JPMorgan Chase Altman Z Score analysis.

You can also try the Funds Screener module to find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges.

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When running JPMorgan Chase's price analysis, check to measure JPMorgan Chase's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy JPMorgan Chase is operating at the current time. Most of JPMorgan Chase's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of JPMorgan Chase's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move JPMorgan Chase's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of JPMorgan Chase to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.

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Odds Of Bankruptcy

Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years

Is JPMorgan Chase's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of JPMorgan Chase. If investors know JPMorgan will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about JPMorgan Chase listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.

Quarterly Earnings Growth

(0.15)

Dividend Share

4.1

Earnings Share

16

Revenue Per Share

49.687

Quarterly Revenue Growth

0.111

The market value of JPMorgan Chase is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of JPMorgan that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of JPMorgan Chase's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is JPMorgan Chase's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because JPMorgan Chase's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect JPMorgan Chase's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.

Please note, there is a significant difference between JPMorgan Chase's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if JPMorgan Chase is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, JPMorgan Chase's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

JPMorgan Chase Probability Of Bankruptcy | (NYSE:JPM) (2024)

FAQs

JPMorgan Chase Probability Of Bankruptcy | (NYSE:JPM)? ›

The Probability of Bankruptcy of JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) is 3.8% . This number represents the probability that JPMorgan will face financial distress in the next 24 months given its current fundamentals and market conditions.

How stable is JPMorgan Chase? ›

JPMorgan Chase has the Financial Strength Rank of 4.

GuruFocus Financial Strength Rank measures how strong a company's financial situation is. It is based on these factors: 1. The debt burden that the company has as measured by its Interest Coverage (current year).

How safe is JP Morgan? ›

JPMS is a member of SIPC, which was created by Congress to protect Customers of securities brokers and dealers and to promote public confidence in the securities markets in the United States.

Will Chase ever go under? ›

Jpmorgan Chase Co Stock Probability Of Bankruptcy. Stocks USA . JPMorgan Chase's odds of distress is less than 3% at the moment. It is unlikely to undergo any financial crunch in the next 24 months.

What happens if Chase bank fails? ›

If a bank fails, the FDIC is in charge of managing its assets. You'll have to wait until your money is moved to another FDIC-insured bank or mailed to you as a check in order to have access to it.

Is Chase a strong bank? ›

Key Takeaways: We give Chase 4.0 out of 5 stars overall because it offers a diverse selection of bank accounts, a positive customer experience and convenient branch access. Most Chase deposit accounts don't have minimum opening deposit requirements.

What is the prediction for JPMorgan Chase bank? ›

Based on analyst ratings, JPMorgan Chase & Co.'s 12-month average price target is $213.96. What is JPM's upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target? JPMorgan Chase & Co. has 5.59% upside potential, based on the analysts' average price target.

Is Chase Bank closing in 2024? ›

If you have a bank account with Chase, your favorite branch may close in 2024. Throughout the year, Chase plans to close at least 23 branches across various states, with some closures possibly already in effect. At the same time, Chase plans to open 400 branches in 25 new states.

Is JP Morgan laying off employees in 2024? ›

Data from state filings showed that five financial institutions announced New Jersey layoffs so far in 2024: The Bank of New York Mellon Corporation, TD Bank, Prudential Financial, Citibank and JPMorgan Chase Bank.

Is JPMorgan Chase too big to fail? ›

JPMorgan Chase is the largest bank in the U.S. That worries some critics, who see it as "too big to fail." SCOTT SIMON, HOST: Ever since the global financial crisis, there's been a lot of consolidation among banks. Many of them have gotten larger, but one towers over all.

Which banks are failing in 2024? ›

Republic First Bank reported unrealized securities losses in excess of its equity as early as June 2022. State regulators closed Republic First Bank in April 2024, marking the first bank failure of the year.

How safe is your money in Chase Bank? ›

Is Chase FDIC insured? Yes, all Chase bank accounts are FDIC insured (FDIC# 628) up to $250,000 per depositor, for each account ownership category, in the event of a bank failure.

How powerful is JPMorgan Chase? ›

The firm operates the largest investment bank in the world by revenue. It occupies 24th place on the Fortune 500 list of the largest U.S. corporations by revenue. In 2023, JPMorgan Chase was ranked #1 in the Forbes Global 2000 ranking.

What are JPMorgan Chase weaknesses? ›

Weaknesses. Regulatory and Compliance Risks: As a highly regulated entity, JPMorgan Chase & Co faces significant compliance risks. The 10-K filing highlights the complexity of adhering to various laws and regulations, which can lead to increased costs and operational constraints.

Does JPMorgan Chase have a good reputation? ›

JPMorgan Chase named one of the top five World's Most Admired Companies. FORTUNE has placed JPMorgan Chase in the top five of its “World's Most Admired Companies” list, ranking #5 in 2024 for the second consecutive year.

What is the financial health of Chase bank? ›

JPMorgan Chase Balance Sheet Health

JPMorgan Chase has total assets of $4,090.7B and total equity of $336.6B. Total deposits are $2,428.4B, and total loans are $1,332.8B. It earns a Net Interest Margin of 2.7%. It has sufficient allowance for bad loans, which are currently at 0.6% of total loans.

Where does JPMorgan Chase rank? ›

J.P. Morgan Chase is the number one bank in America in terms of total assets held, according to the Federal Reserve.

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